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Modern logistics

This section provides a more in?depth look at the two essential components of economic activity models, namely the economic and land use model and the freight demand model. The economic land use component of the model generates socioeconomic forecasts at the zonal level of detail, based on considerations of the structure of the economy and the locations of industrial and household activities in the region in the future. These socioeconomic forecasts along with industrial activity location and economic interrelationships information are used interactively with the freight travel demand model to develop freight trip generation and distribution estimates. The travel demand model component then performs the mode split and network assignment steps to predict freight flows on the network by each mode of transportation.

Changes in land use may have a negative impact on trucking freight transportation, especially with regard to facilities in densely developed urban areas. The economic land use model should be able to replicate the observed shift of freight facilities to areas distant from urban centers which have cheaper land in the large parcels often required by modern logistical and freight centers.

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